Statistically significant out-of-sample performance. The setup returns money consistently across regimes and asset classes with enough trades to rule out luck.
● INCONCLUSIVE
Small sample or mixed evidence
Results are directionally positive but the sample is too small, or performance is highly regime-dependent. Flagged for re-test after the next sweep.
● MYTH BUSTED
Profit factor < 0.9, n > 1,000
The setup underperforms a random coin flip when tested honestly on out-of-sample data. Retail-popular setups here are marked as a warning.
§2 Strategy performance
Every strategy, ranked.
WALK-FORWARD · 10-DAY FORWARD RETURNS
No curve fits. Win rates measured on strict walk-forward out-of-sample returns. Filter by type, badge, or name — sort by any metric.
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§3 Indicator deep-dives
How each indicator really performs.
AVG WIN RATE ACROSS ALL VARIANTS
The ring shows average win rate across every variant of that indicator. Green beats 50%, red doesn’t, brown is marginal.
RSI
50.3%
win rate
12,182Signals
0.94Best Sharpe
6Variants
Best variant: RSI + Volume Combo Long
· Best in: commodities
MACD
50.0%
win rate
27,942Signals
0.14Best Sharpe
6Variants
Best variant: MACD Histogram Reversal Up
· Best in: commodities
Bollinger Bands
53.2%
win rate
25,846Signals
0.69Best Sharpe
5Variants
Best variant: BB + Stochastic Double Oversold
· Best in: commodities
Moving Averages
52.8%
win rate
6,905Signals
0.56Best Sharpe
4Variants
Best variant: Golden Cross (SMA 50/200)
· Best in: forex
Stochastic
51.7%
win rate
17,461Signals
0.32Best Sharpe
2Variants
Best variant: Stochastic Oversold
· Best in: forex
ADX
49.6%
win rate
23,496Signals
0.11Best Sharpe
2Variants
Best variant: ADX Trend + DI Short
· Best in: crypto
Ichimoku
49.3%
win rate
1,587Signals
0.13Best Sharpe
2Variants
Best variant: Ichimoku Cloud Breakout Up
· Best in: commodities
Volume
51.3%
win rate
731Signals
0.90Best Sharpe
2Variants
Best variant: Breakout + Volume Surge
· Best in: commodities
§5 By asset class
Where edges live.
AVERAGE STRATEGY WIN RATE PER MARKET
Technical indicators don’t work equally across all markets. Here’s how strategy win rates compare across stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities.
Crypto
53.4%
38,885 signals
Forex
52.4%
32,551 signals
Stocks
51.0%
100,721 signals
Commodities
50.0%
26,543 signals
§6 How we test
Methodology.
RIGOROUS · REPRODUCIBLE · TRANSPARENT
01
Walk-Forward Testing
Every signal uses only data available at the time. No future leakage, no lookback bias, no curve fits.
02
2 Years of Data
Daily OHLCV across 128 instruments covering multiple market regimes and volatility environments.
03
Standard Parameters
RSI 14, MACD 12/26/9, Bollinger 20/2 — no optimization. The settings every trader actually uses.
04
Fixed Holding Period
Forward returns measured at +5 and +10 trading days. Not cherry-picked exit timing.
05
Live Shadow Testing
Strategies run on live data in shadow mode — building real out-of-sample track records we publish.
06
Updated Weekly
Research data refreshed every Sunday. ML pattern discovery runs weekly.
See these strategies in live action
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